San Jose Earthquakes IIvs
Tacoma Defiance
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 7/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes II
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
10.6%
San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20