GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Lowconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Swope Park Rangers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

83.9%

Model confidence

9.8%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose Earthquakes IIWLWDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swope Park RangersLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
San Jose Earthquakes IISwope Park Rangers
65.0Attack42.9
58.3Defence15.9
48.3Form28.6
56.0Power31.9
3.84xG0.94
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