GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Portland Timbers II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

13.5%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose Earthquakes IIDWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Timbers IIWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
San Jose Earthquakes IIPortland Timbers II
65.0Attack42.4
58.3Defence63.6
48.3Form63.6
56.0Power58.4
1.53xG1.01
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