GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while North Texas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

10.0%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose Earthquakes IILWWLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
North TexasLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Jose Earthquakes IINorth Texas
65.0Attack55.0
58.3Defence50.0
48.3Form45.0
56.0Power50.1
2.17xG1.27
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