GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Mediumconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Minnesota United II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

10.0%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose Earthquakes IIWDWLL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Minnesota United IIWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
San Jose Earthquakes IIMinnesota United II
65.0Attack45.5
58.3Defence47.0
48.3Form42.4
56.0Power46.8
2.32xG1.04
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