San GiovannivsTre Penne

San Giovanni are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tre Penne are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tre Penne hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Campionato, while Tre Penne holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.