GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Campionato · 9/23/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tre Fiori · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Giovanni are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tre Fiori are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Tre Fiori hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Campionato, while Tre Fiori holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tre Fiori

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Tre Fiori has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San GiovanniW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Tre FioriL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
San GiovanniTre Fiori
59.4Attack59.4
52.1Defence66.7
50.0Form60.4
52.2Power62.4
1.24xG1.61
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