San Giovannivs
Fiorentino
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Coppa Titano · 10/25/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiorentino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Giovanni are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fiorentino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentino hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Coppa Titano, while Fiorentino holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fiorentino
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Fiorentino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00