San Francisco FCvs
UMECIT
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Francisco FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Francisco FC 0-1 UMECIT
Original prediction
San Francisco FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.9% | 41.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.2% | 26.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 32.9% | 32.3% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
San Francisco FC
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
San Francisco FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80