San Francisco FCvs
Plaza Amador
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 8/30/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Amador · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Francisco FC 4-1 Plaza Amador
Original prediction
Plaza Amador
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.14 | 28.6% | 22.6% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.2% | 21.7% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.2% | 55.8% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Amador
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Plaza Amador has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80