GGOALVIO

Panama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 1/28/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Francisco FC are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Independiente de La Chorrera are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Francisco FC hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Francisco FCDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Independiente de La ChorreraLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
San Francisco FCIndependiente de La Chorrera
50.0Attack38.1
50.0Defence66.7
48.3Form38.1
51.4Power48.9
1.08xG1.03
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