San Francisco FCvs
Deportivo Universitario
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Francisco FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Francisco FC 1-0 Deportivo Universitario
Original prediction
San Francisco FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.2% | 50.8% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.0% | 25.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 27.8% | 23.6% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
San Francisco FC
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
San Francisco FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00