San Francisco FCvs
CD Arabe Unido
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/19/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Francisco FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Francisco FC 1-2 CD Arabe Unido
Original prediction
San Francisco FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.6% | 42.0% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 31.9% | 27.8% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.4% | 30.2% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
San Francisco FC
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
San Francisco FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40