GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

San Diego Wave W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Utah Royals W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

14.8%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Diego Wave WLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Utah Royals WLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San Diego Wave WUtah Royals W
42.1Attack56.1
64.9Defence63.2
56.1Form57.9
56.4Power59.8
0.99xG1.09
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