San Diego Wave Wvs
Racing Louisville W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego Wave W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Diego Wave W 3-2 Racing Louisville W
Original prediction
San Diego Wave W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 57.9% | 48.0% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.0% | 26.8% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.1% | 25.2% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
San Diego Wave W
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40