San Diego Wave Wvs
Racing Louisville W
SCHEDULEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
San Diego Wave W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego Wave W
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
12.2%
San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60