San Diego Wave Wvs
Portland Thorns W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 3/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
San Diego Wave W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 54.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego Wave W
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40