San Diego Wave Wvs
North Carolina Courage W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/12/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego Wave W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Diego Wave W 2-1 North Carolina Courage W
Original prediction
San Diego Wave W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.5% | 37.4% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.9% | 28.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.6% | 34.1% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
San Diego Wave W
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40