GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/5/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Diego Wave W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and NJ/NY Gotham FC W hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.0% in the NWSL Women, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

23.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Diego Wave WWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NJ/NY Gotham FC WWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
San Diego Wave WNJ/NY Gotham FC W
41.7Attack43.3
65.0Defence78.3
55.0Form71.7
55.9Power66.6
0.67xG0.86
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