GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 9/19/2026, 2:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego Wave W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

San Diego Wave W 2-0 Kansas City W

Original prediction

San Diego Wave W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1841.0%39.2%-1.8 pts
Draw3.5025.5%28.7%3.2 pts
Away2.6733.5%32.1%-1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

San Diego Wave W

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Diego Wave WWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kansas City WDWWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
San Diego Wave WKansas City W
47.2Attack54.2
62.5Defence52.8
58.3Form52.8
58.1Power53.9
1.45xG1.10
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