GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/15/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Diego Wave W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Houston Dash W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego Wave W

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

16.6%

San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Diego Wave WLLWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Houston Dash WLWLDL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Diego Wave WHouston Dash W
41.7Attack37.0
65.0Defence51.9
55.0Form37.0
55.9Power44.1
1.34xG0.68
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