GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/29/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Diego Wave W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego Wave W

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Diego Wave WWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Red Stars WLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
San Diego Wave WChicago Red Stars W
41.7Attack15.8
65.0Defence40.4
55.0Form22.8
55.9Power29.8
1.73xG0.46
View match centre →