San Diego Wave Wvs
Bay FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 5/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
San Diego Wave W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bay FC W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.4% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego Wave W
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
17.4%
San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00