San Diegovs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/2/2026, 2:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Diego are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while St. Louis City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80