GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Diego are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Real Salt Lake are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San DiegoDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real Salt LakeWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San DiegoReal Salt Lake
57.9Attack55.6
49.1Defence51.9
42.1Form51.9
49.6Power54.6
1.78xG1.59
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