GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/26/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

San Diego are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.6 against 48.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San DiegoLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Portland TimbersLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San DiegoPortland Timbers
57.9Attack61.1
49.1Defence38.9
42.1Form44.4
49.6Power48.4
2.30xG1.72
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