GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/3/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Diego are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Los Angeles FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles FC

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San DiegoLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Los Angeles FCWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San DiegoLos Angeles FC
57.9Attack58.3
49.1Defence66.7
42.1Form56.7
49.6Power59.5
1.21xG1.69
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