Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:14
San Diego

San Diego

Home
W
10
Full time
FC Dallas

FC Dallas

Away
WL
Snapdragon Stadium
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
San Diego(47%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
San Diego
47%
Draw
22%
FC Dallas
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
San Diego
99
FC Dallas
86
Defence
San Diego
27
FC Dallas
14
Momentum
San Diego
100
FC Dallas
50
Danger (xG)
San Diego
2.31
FC Dallas
2.25
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (San Diego)
2.31
avg per match
xG for (FC Dallas)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (San Diego)
2.32
avg per match
xG against (FC Dallas)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
San DiegoSan Diego
DWW
FC DallasFC Dallas
WL

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
San Diego47%
Draw22%
FC Dallas31%

San Diego leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

San Diego head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Snapdragon Stadium in mixed form (W), while FC Dallas arrive in mixed form (WL). San Diego have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for FC Dallas over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — San Diego (99/100) and FC Dallas (86/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

San Diego have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. FC Dallas have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

San Diego have generated 2.31 xG per game recently while conceding 2.32 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between San Diego and FC Dallas in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects San Diego to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: San Diego 4688%, Draw 2230%, FC Dallas 3082%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

San Diego

San Diego

D
vs FC Cincinnati
17 May 2026
33
W
vs Austin
14 May 2026
50
W
@ Houston Dynamo
5 Oct 2025
42
xG 2.3
FC Dallas

FC Dallas

W
@ San Jose Earthquakes
17 May 2026
32
L
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
14 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Diego vs FC Dallas?

GoalVio's model predicts San Diego to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Diego vs FC Dallas?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in San Diego vs FC Dallas?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Diego vs FC Dallas?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more