GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/12/2023, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego Loyal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Diego Loyal are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Detroit City are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.6 against 59.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the USL Championship, while San Diego Loyal holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego Loyal

Probability

34.0%

Model confidence

34.0%

San Diego Loyal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Diego LoyalWWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Detroit CityDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
San Diego LoyalDetroit City
61.0Attack48.1
55.2Defence68.5
54.3Form57.4
57.6Power59.2
1.23xG1.19
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