GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 4/16/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

San Cristóbal are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Moca are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Moca hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Liga Mayor, while Moca holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moca

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Moca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San CristóbalLLLD

GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.75

BTTS 0/4O2.5 2/4
MocaWLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
San CristóbalMoca
31.3Attack35.8
39.6Defence69.1
29.2Form51.9
34.5Power53.2
0.59xG1.25
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