San Carlosvs
Sporting San Jose
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting San Jose · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Carlos 0-1 Sporting San Jose, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Carlos 1-0 Sporting San Jose
Original prediction
Sporting San Jose
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 23.0% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.5% | 27.2% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.8% | 49.8% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Projected Score
San Carlos 0–1 Sporting San Jose
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sporting San Jose
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Sporting San Jose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80