San Carlosvs
Puntarenas FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Carlos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Carlos 0-0 Puntarenas FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Carlos 1-2 Puntarenas FC
Original prediction
San Carlos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.3% | 38.1% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.5% | 29.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.2% | 32.2% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Projected Score
San Carlos 0–0 Puntarenas FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
San Carlos
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
San Carlos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20