San Carlosvs
Deportivo Saprissa
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Carlos 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.70 | 24.6% | 21.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 25.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.5% | 52.8% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40