San Carlosvs
CS Cartagines
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CS Cartagines · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Carlos 1-0 CS Cartagines
Original prediction
CS Cartagines
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.1% | 22.7% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.2% | 25.8% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.7% | 51.5% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
CS Cartagines
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20