GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Primera División · 8/12/2023, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Cartagines · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Carlos are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while CS Cartagines are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CS Cartagines hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (31.6 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Primera División, while CS Cartagines holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CS Cartagines

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San CarlosDLW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
CS CartaginesWLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
San CarlosCS Cartagines
16.7Attack55.6
41.7Defence66.7
25.0Form66.7
31.6Power64.7
0.93xG1.50
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