GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/29/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

San Carlos FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 57.0-point power-rating edge (23.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

67.2%

Model confidence

67.2%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Carlos FCLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíWLLDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San Carlos FCAD Sarchí
39.6Attack66.7
1.0Defence66.7
18.8Form100.0
23.3Power80.3
1.06xG2.65
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