GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/2/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

San Carlos FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (23.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Carlos FCWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
San Carlos FCAD Carmelita
39.6Attack66.7
1.0Defence33.3
18.8Form33.3
23.3Power45.3
1.24xG2.43
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