San Antoniovs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Antonio 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Antonio 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Original prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.2% | 26.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.3% | 29.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.5% | 44.0% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
San Antonio 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80