GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 9/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SV Darmstadt 98 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

San Antonio 0-7 SV Darmstadt 98

Original prediction

SV Darmstadt 98

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.8815.5%28.3%12.8 pts
Draw5.2517.4%25.8%8.4 pts
Away1.3667.1%45.9%-21.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-21.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

SV Darmstadt 98

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

SV Darmstadt 98 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San AntonioDDLDD

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SV Darmstadt 98LWLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
San AntonioSV Darmstadt 98
22.2Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
11.1Form40.0
26.4Power48.5
1.23xG1.49
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