GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/8/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

San Antonio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Antonio

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

14.1%

San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San AntonioWWDLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Phoenix RisingLLWDW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
San AntonioPhoenix Rising
45.6Attack42.1
63.2Defence54.4
56.1Form38.6
57.5Power46.4
1.39xG0.82
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