San Antoniovs
Orange County SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/25/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Antonio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Antonio 2-1 Orange County SC
Original prediction
San Antonio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.3% | 42.3% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.9% | 27.7% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.8% | 30.0% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
San Antonio
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60