San Antoniovs
New Mexico United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Antonio 0-0 New Mexico United, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Antonio 1-0 New Mexico United
Original prediction
New Mexico United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 49.1% | 35.2% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.9% | 28.2% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.0% | 36.6% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Projected Score
San Antonio 0–0 New Mexico United
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20