San AntoniovsNew Mexico United

San Antonio are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while New Mexico United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.