San Antoniovs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 9/9/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Antonio 0-0 Louisville City
Original prediction
Louisville City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.4% | 33.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 27.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.4% | 39.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Louisville City
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00