GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Antonio are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lexington are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Antonio

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San AntonioWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LexingtonWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
San AntonioLexington
45.6Attack51.9
63.2Defence59.3
56.1Form51.9
57.5Power54.8
1.21xG1.04
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