GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 10/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

9 de Octubre · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: San Antonio 0-0 9 de Octubre, with an exact score probability of 30%.

Prediction record

Final result

San Antonio 3-3 9 de Octubre

Original prediction

9 de Octubre

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.7715.4%20.4%5.0 pts
Draw3.2727.2%33.8%6.6 pts
Away1.5557.4%45.8%-11.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.6 pts

Projected Score

San Antonio 0–0 9 de Octubre

Exact score probability: 30%

Predicted outcome

9 de Octubre

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

9 de Octubre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San AntonioWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
9 de OctubreWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
San Antonio9 de Octubre
32.2Attack35.6
62.2Defence76.7
40.0Form53.3
46.5Power57.4
0.48xG0.76
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