David Kipiani CupDavid Kipiani Cup
Monday, 27 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe

Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe

Home
12
Full time
Gagra

Gagra

Away
DL
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe(45%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe
45%
Draw
25%
Gagra
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Gagra)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Gagra)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GagraGagra
DL

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe45%
Draw25%
Gagra30%

Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe head into this in David Kipiani Cup fixture in unknown form, while Gagra arrive in mixed form (DL).

Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Gagra have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe and Gagra in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe 4481%, Draw 2470%, Gagra 3049%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Gagra

Gagra

D
vs Rustavi
16 May 2026
11
L
@ Spaeri
11 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe vs Gagra?

GoalVio's model predicts Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe vs Gagra?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe vs Gagra?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe vs Gagra?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more