GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 3/8/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Kutaisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Samtredia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Torpedo Kutaisi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Torpedo Kutaisi hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Torpedo Kutaisi holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Kutaisi

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Torpedo Kutaisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SamtrediaLWLDW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Torpedo KutaisiDDWLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SamtrediaTorpedo Kutaisi
48.2Attack50.9
42.1Defence65.7
31.6Form55.6
40.8Power56.9
1.01xG1.70
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