David Kipiani CupDavid Kipiani Cup
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Samtredia

Samtredia

Home
D
21
Full time
Shturmi

Shturmi

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Shturmi(38%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Samtredia
37%
Draw
25%
Shturmi
38%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Samtredia
34
Shturmi
34
Defence
Samtredia
66
Shturmi
66
Momentum
Samtredia
33
Shturmi
33
Danger (xG)
Samtredia
0.90
Shturmi
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Samtredia)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Shturmi)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Samtredia)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Shturmi)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SamtrediaSamtredia
D
ShturmiShturmi
D

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Samtredia37%
Draw25%
Shturmi38%

Shturmi leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Samtredia head into this in David Kipiani Cup fixture in mixed form (D), while Shturmi arrive in mixed form (D). Samtredia have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Shturmi over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Samtredia (66/100) and Shturmi (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Samtredia have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Shturmi have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Shturmi to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Samtredia 3688%, Draw 2500%, Shturmi 3813%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Samtredia 0Draws 10 Shturmi
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
16 May 2026
Samtredia
D11
Shturmi

Recent form

Samtredia

Samtredia

D
vs Shturmi
16 May 2026
11
Shturmi

Shturmi

D
@ Samtredia
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Samtredia vs Shturmi?

GoalVio's model predicts Shturmi to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Shturmi?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Samtredia vs Shturmi?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Samtredia vs Shturmi?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more