Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Samtredia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Samtredia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shturmi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Samtredia hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Samtredia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Samtredia
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Samtredia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00