Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Samtredia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Samtredia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gori are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Samtredia hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Samtredia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Samtredia
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Samtredia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60